Exeter City F.C.vs
Stockport County F.C.Exeter City F.C. 3-3 Stockport County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stockport County F.C.42%
- Exeter City F.C. 33%
- Draw 25%
- Stockport County F.C. 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Stockport County F.C., rating it at 42.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Stockport County F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Exeter City F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Stockport County F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Exeter City F.C.: LWLLD
Stockport County F.C.: WLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Exeter City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Stockport County F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Stockport County F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.