Lincoln City F.C. crestLincoln City F.C.vsBurton Albion F.C. crestBurton Albion F.C.

Lincoln City F.C. 2-1 Burton Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Thu, 22 Jan 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lincoln City F.C.70%

  • Lincoln City F.C. 70%
  • Draw 19%
  • Burton Albion F.C. 10%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

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Analysis

Both model families pick Lincoln City F.C., rating it at 70.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Lincoln City F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Lincoln City F.C.: DWWLL

Burton Albion F.C.: LWDLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-22Lincoln City F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.2–1
2025-09-13Burton Albion F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Lincoln City F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Lincoln City F.C. (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Lincoln City F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. kick off?
Thu, 22 Jan 2026 20:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Lincoln City F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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