Lincoln City F.C.vs
Northampton Town F.C.Lincoln City F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Lincoln City F.C. 4–0 Northampton Town F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lincoln City F.C.77%
- Lincoln City F.C. 77%
- Draw 17%
- Northampton Town F.C. 6%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lincoln City F.C., rating it at 77.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Lincoln City F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 77.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 16.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Lincoln City F.C.: LWLLL
Northampton Town F.C.: WDWDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Lincoln City F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Northampton Town F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Lincoln City F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Lincoln City F.C. (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lincoln City F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Lincoln City F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.