Mansfield Town F.C.vs
Cardiff City F.C.Mansfield Town F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 02 May 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Mansfield Town F.C. 5–4 Cardiff City F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cardiff City F.C.42%
- Mansfield Town F.C. 33%
- Draw 25%
- Cardiff City F.C. 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Mansfield Town F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Cardiff City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Mansfield Town F.C.: LWLWW
Cardiff City F.C.: WWWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 6.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Mansfield Town F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 5–4 |
| 2025-11-29 | Cardiff City F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Mansfield Town F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Mansfield Town F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Mansfield Town F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.