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Mansfield Town F.C. crestMansfield Town F.C.vsLincoln City F.C. crestLincoln City F.C.

Mansfield Town F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Mansfield Town F.C. 02 Lincoln City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lincoln City F.C.50%

Mansfield Town F.C. 25%
Draw 25%
Lincoln City F.C. 50%
  • Mansfield Town F.C. 25%
  • Draw 25%
  • Lincoln City F.C. 50%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Lincoln City F.C., rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Mansfield Town F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Mansfield Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Lincoln City F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Mansfield Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Mansfield Town F.C.: LWLWW

Lincoln City F.C.: LWLLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Mansfield Town F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.0–2
2025-08-30Lincoln City F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Mansfield Town F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Lincoln City F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Mansfield Town F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Mansfield Town F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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