Mansfield Town F.C.vs
Northampton Town F.C.Mansfield Town F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Mansfield Town F.C. 4–1 Northampton Town F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Mansfield Town F.C.61%
- Mansfield Town F.C. 61%
- Draw 24%
- Northampton Town F.C. 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Mansfield Town F.C., rating it at 60.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Mansfield Town F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Mansfield Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Northampton Town F.C.'s 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Mansfield Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Mansfield Town F.C.: LWLWW
Northampton Town F.C.: WDWDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Mansfield Town F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Northampton Town F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Mansfield Town F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Mansfield Town F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Mansfield Town F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Mansfield Town F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.