Notts County F.C.vs
Leicester City F.C.Notts County F.C. 1-1 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League OneSat, 15 Aug 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Notts County F.C.62%
- Notts County F.C.
- Draw
- Leicester City F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 62.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Notts County F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Leicester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Notts County F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Leicester City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Notts County F.C.: WLLDD
Leicester City F.C.: WDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Notts County F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Notts County F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Notts County F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the Notts County F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.