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Notts County F.C. crestNotts County F.C.vsOxford United F.C. crestOxford United F.C.

Notts County F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League OneSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Notts County F.C.63%

Notts County F.C. 63%
Draw 24%
Oxford United F.C. 13%
  • Notts County F.C. 63%
  • Draw 24%
  • Oxford United F.C. 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 63.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Notts County F.C.: DLLLW

Oxford United F.C.: WWWWW

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FAQ

Who will win Notts County F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Notts County F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.

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