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Peterborough United F.C. crestPeterborough United F.C.vsCardiff City F.C. crestCardiff City F.C.

Peterborough United F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Peterborough United F.C. 11 Cardiff City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cardiff City F.C.48%

Peterborough United F.C. 30%
Draw 22%
Cardiff City F.C. 48%
  • Peterborough United F.C. 30%
  • Draw 22%
  • Cardiff City F.C. 48%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Peterborough United F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Cardiff City F.C.'s last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Peterborough United F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Cardiff City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Peterborough United F.C.: LWLWW

Cardiff City F.C.: WWWLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-06Peterborough United F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.1–1
2025-08-02Cardiff City F.C. vs Peterborough United F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Peterborough United F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Peterborough United F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. kick off?
Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Peterborough United F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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