Peterborough United F.C.vs
Exeter City F.C.Peterborough United F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Peterborough United F.C. 3–3 Exeter City F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Peterborough United F.C.51%
- Peterborough United F.C. 51%
- Draw 23%
- Exeter City F.C. 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Peterborough United F.C., rating it at 51.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Peterborough United F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Peterborough United F.C.: LWLWW
Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Peterborough United F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Exeter City F.C. vs Peterborough United F.C. | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Peterborough United F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Peterborough United F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Peterborough United F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Peterborough United F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.