Peterborough United F.C.vs
Port Vale F.C.Peterborough United F.C. 1-3 Port Vale F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Thu, 16 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Peterborough United F.C.60%
- Peterborough United F.C. 60%
- Draw 22%
- Port Vale F.C. 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Peterborough United F.C., rating it at 60.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Peterborough United F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Peterborough United F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Peterborough United F.C.: LWWLW
Port Vale F.C.: DDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Peterborough United F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-12-20 | Port Vale F.C. vs Peterborough United F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Peterborough United F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Peterborough United F.C. (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Peterborough United F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. kick off?
- Thu, 16 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Peterborough United F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.