Plymouth Argyle F.C.vs
Bolton Wanderers F.C.Plymouth Argyle F.C. 1-2 Bolton Wanderers F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Fri, 03 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Plymouth Argyle F.C.41%
- Plymouth Argyle F.C. 41%
- Draw 23%
- Bolton Wanderers F.C. 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Plymouth Argyle F.C., rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Plymouth Argyle F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Plymouth Argyle F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s 4 produced 5, at 1.3 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Plymouth Argyle F.C.: WLDLW
Bolton Wanderers F.C.: LDWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Plymouth Argyle F.C. | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Plymouth Argyle F.C. (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
- Fri, 03 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.