Plymouth Argyle F.C.vs
Cardiff City F.C.Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 21 Feb 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Plymouth Argyle F.C. 5–2 Cardiff City F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cardiff City F.C.43%
- Plymouth Argyle F.C. 35%
- Draw 22%
- Cardiff City F.C. 43%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Plymouth Argyle F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Cardiff City F.C.'s last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Plymouth Argyle F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Cardiff City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Plymouth Argyle F.C.: WDWWW
Cardiff City F.C.: WWWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 5–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Cardiff City F.C. vs Plymouth Argyle F.C. | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Feb 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.