Plymouth Argyle F.C.vs
Port Vale F.C.Plymouth Argyle F.C. 2-1 Port Vale F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Plymouth Argyle F.C.63%
- Plymouth Argyle F.C. 63%
- Draw 22%
- Port Vale F.C. 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Plymouth Argyle F.C., rating it at 63.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Plymouth Argyle F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Plymouth Argyle F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Plymouth Argyle F.C.: WLDLW
Port Vale F.C.: DDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Port Vale F.C. vs Plymouth Argyle F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Plymouth Argyle F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.