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Plymouth Argyle F.C. crestPlymouth Argyle F.C.vsPort Vale F.C. crestPort Vale F.C.

Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Plymouth Argyle F.C. 21 Port Vale F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Plymouth Argyle F.C.63%

Plymouth Argyle F.C. 63%
Draw 22%
Port Vale F.C. 15%
  • Plymouth Argyle F.C. 63%
  • Draw 22%
  • Port Vale F.C. 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Plymouth Argyle F.C., rating it at 63.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Plymouth Argyle F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Plymouth Argyle F.C.: WDWWW

Port Vale F.C.: LWWDW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.2–1
2025-11-22Port Vale F.C. vs Plymouth Argyle F.C.0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Plymouth Argyle F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Plymouth Argyle F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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