Port Vale F.C.vs
Barnsley F.C.Port Vale F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 14 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Port Vale F.C. 0–0 Barnsley F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Barnsley F.C.45%
- Port Vale F.C. 31%
- Draw 24%
- Barnsley F.C. 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Barnsley F.C., rating it at 44.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Port Vale F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Port Vale F.C.: LWWDW
Barnsley F.C.: DWWLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Port Vale F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Barnsley F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Port Vale F.C. vs Barnsley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Barnsley F.C. (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Port Vale F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 14 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Port Vale F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.