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Rotherham United F.C. crestRotherham United F.C.vsMansfield Town F.C. crestMansfield Town F.C.

Rotherham United F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 03 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Rotherham United F.C. 00 Mansfield Town F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Mansfield Town F.C.47%

Rotherham United F.C. 27%
Draw 26%
Mansfield Town F.C. 47%
  • Rotherham United F.C. 27%
  • Draw 26%
  • Mansfield Town F.C. 47%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Mansfield Town F.C., rating it at 46.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Rotherham United F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Mansfield Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Rotherham United F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Mansfield Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Rotherham United F.C.: DWLWD

Mansfield Town F.C.: LWLWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-03Rotherham United F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C.0–0
2025-09-27Mansfield Town F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rotherham United F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Mansfield Town F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rotherham United F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. kick off?
Tue, 03 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Rotherham United F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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