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Stevenage F.C. crestStevenage F.C.vsLincoln City F.C. crestLincoln City F.C.

Stevenage F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Stevenage F.C. 22 Lincoln City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lincoln City F.C.49%

Stevenage F.C. 25%
Draw 26%
Lincoln City F.C. 49%
  • Stevenage F.C. 25%
  • Draw 26%
  • Lincoln City F.C. 49%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Lincoln City F.C., rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stevenage F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Stevenage F.C.: WWWLD

Lincoln City F.C.: LWLLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-18Stevenage F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.2–2
2025-10-18Lincoln City F.C. vs Stevenage F.C.1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stevenage F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Lincoln City F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stevenage F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 18 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Stevenage F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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