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Stockport County F.C. crestStockport County F.C.vsNorthampton Town F.C. crestNorthampton Town F.C.

Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Stockport County F.C. 21 Northampton Town F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stockport County F.C.67%

Stockport County F.C. 67%
Draw 21%
Northampton Town F.C. 13%
  • Stockport County F.C. 67%
  • Draw 21%
  • Northampton Town F.C. 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Stockport County F.C., rating it at 66.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stockport County F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Stockport County F.C.: WWWLW

Northampton Town F.C.: WDWDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-17Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.2–1
2026-01-01Northampton Town F.C. vs Stockport County F.C.0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Stockport County F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. kick off?
Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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