Stockport County F.C.vs
Northampton Town F.C.Stockport County F.C. 2-1 Northampton Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stockport County F.C.67%
- Stockport County F.C. 67%
- Draw 21%
- Northampton Town F.C. 13%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Stockport County F.C., rating it at 66.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Stockport County F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Stockport County F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Northampton Town F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Stockport County F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Stockport County F.C.: WLWWD
Northampton Town F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Northampton Town F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Stockport County F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Stockport County F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.