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Wigan Athletic F.C. crestWigan Athletic F.C.vsExeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.

Wigan Athletic F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Wigan Athletic F.C. 20 Exeter City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Wigan Athletic F.C.47%

Wigan Athletic F.C. 47%
Draw 26%
Exeter City F.C. 27%
  • Wigan Athletic F.C. 47%
  • Draw 26%
  • Exeter City F.C. 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Wigan Athletic F.C., rating it at 47.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Wigan Athletic F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Wigan Athletic F.C.: LDWLL

Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21Wigan Athletic F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.2–0
2025-11-08Exeter City F.C. vs Wigan Athletic F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Wigan Athletic F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Wigan Athletic F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Wigan Athletic F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Wigan Athletic F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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