Exeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.vsBolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.

Exeter City F.C. 1-5 Bolton Wanderers F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.45%

Tofiko30% / 25% / 45%
Market24% / 27% / 50%
  • Exeter City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 44.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Exeter City F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Exeter City F.C.: DDLWD

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.1–5
2025-12-13Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBolton 2-1 Exeter City13 Dec 2025 →