Northampton Town F.C. crestNorthampton Town F.C.vsBarnsley F.C. crestBarnsley F.C.

Northampton Town F.C. 0-1 Barnsley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 28 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Barnsley F.C.48%

Tofiko29% / 23% / 48%
Market32% / 25% / 43%
  • Northampton Town F.C.
  • Draw
  • Barnsley F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Barnsley F.C., rating it at 48.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Northampton Town F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Barnsley F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Northampton Town F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Barnsley F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Northampton Town F.C.: LLWDD

Barnsley F.C.: LDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-28Northampton Town F.C. vs Barnsley F.C.0–1
2026-02-03Barnsley F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Northampton Town F.C. vs Barnsley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Barnsley F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Northampton Town F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. kick off?
Tue, 28 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Northampton Town F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBarnsley 2-2 Northampton3 Feb 2026 →