Port Vale F.C. crestPort Vale F.C.vsBolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.

Port Vale F.C. 1-0 Bolton Wanderers F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.54%

Tofiko22% / 25% / 54%
Market19% / 24% / 57%
  • Port Vale F.C.
  • Draw
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 53.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Port Vale F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Port Vale F.C.: DLWLL

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21Port Vale F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.1–0
2025-11-08Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.4–0
2021-08-31Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Port Vale F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Port Vale F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Port Vale F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBolton 4-0 Port Vale8 Nov 2025 →