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Leicester City F.C. crestLeicester City F.C.vsNorwich City crestNorwich City

Leicester City F.C. vs Norwich City Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 28 Feb 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Leicester City F.C. 02 Norwich City

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Norwich City40%

Leicester City F.C. 36%
Draw 24%
Norwich City 40%
  • Leicester City F.C. 36%
  • Draw 24%
  • Norwich City 40%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Norwich City, rating it at 40.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Leicester City F.C. won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Leicester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Norwich City's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Leicester City F.C.: DWWWW

Norwich City: LDWDW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Leicester City F.C. vs Norwich City0–2
2025-11-08Norwich City vs Leicester City F.C.1–2
2022-05-11Leicester City vs Norwich City3–0
2021-08-28Norwich City vs Leicester City1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Leicester City F.C. vs Norwich City?
Tofiko's model favours Norwich City (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Leicester City F.C. vs Norwich City kick off?
Sat, 28 Feb 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Leicester City F.C. vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

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