Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSun, 23 Aug 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.39%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 39%
- Draw 30%
- Aston Villa F.C. 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WLLWL
Aston Villa F.C.: LWWLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–4 |
| 2025-04-02 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-30 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-05 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 6–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2021-11-20 | Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.