AFC Bournemouthvs
Manchester City F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.58%
- AFC Bournemouth 20%
- Draw 22%
- Manchester City F.C. 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 1 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Manchester City F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 78%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-19 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Manchester City F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-20 | Manchester City F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-02 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-24 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth | 6–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City | 1–4 |
| 2022-08-13 | Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.