Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nottingham Forest F.C.49%
- Nottingham Forest F.C. 49%
- Draw 28%
- Leeds United F.C. 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nottingham Forest F.C., rating it at 49.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Nottingham Forest F.C. won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Nottingham Forest F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nottingham Forest F.C.: LWDLW
Leeds United F.C.: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Leeds United F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-04-04 | Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-05 | Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Nottingham Forest F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.