Leicester City F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Leicester City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipTue, 10 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Leicester City F.C. 3–4 Southampton F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.50%
- Leicester City F.C. 28%
- Draw 22%
- Southampton F.C. 50%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 50.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Leicester City F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Leicester City F.C.: LDWWW
Southampton F.C.: WWWDD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | Leicester City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 3–4 |
| 2025-11-25 | Southampton F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Leicester City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Southampton F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2023-03-04 | Southampton vs Leicester City | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Leicester City vs Southampton | 1–2 |
| 2022-05-22 | Leicester City vs Southampton | 4–1 |
| 2021-12-01 | Southampton vs Leicester City | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-30 | Southampton vs Leicester City | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-16 | Leicester City vs Southampton | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leicester City F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leicester City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 10 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Leicester City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.