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Norwich City crestNorwich CityvsSouthampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.

Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipWed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.42%

Norwich City 31%
Draw 26%
Southampton F.C. 42%
  • Norwich City 31%
  • Draw 26%
  • Southampton F.C. 42%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 42.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Norwich City won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Norwich City: LDWDW

Southampton F.C.: WWWDD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-18Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City1–0
2025-12-13Norwich City vs Southampton F.C.2–1
2022-02-25Southampton vs Norwich City2–0
2021-11-20Norwich City vs Southampton2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Norwich City vs Southampton F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

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