Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipWed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.42%
- Norwich City 31%
- Draw 26%
- Southampton F.C. 42%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 42.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Norwich City won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Norwich City: LDWDW
Southampton F.C.: WWWDD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-25 | Southampton vs Norwich City | 2–0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Norwich City vs Southampton | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Norwich City vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.