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Watford F.C. crestWatford F.C.vsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Burnley F.C.38%

Watford F.C. 35%
Draw 27%
Burnley F.C. 38%
  • Watford F.C. 35%
  • Draw 27%
  • Burnley F.C. 38%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Burnley F.C., rating it at 37.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Watford F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Watford F.C.: LWDLL

Burnley F.C.: DLLDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-30Watford vs Burnley1–2
2022-02-05Burnley vs Watford0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Burnley F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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