Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Burnley F.C.38%
- Watford F.C. 35%
- Draw 27%
- Burnley F.C. 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Burnley F.C., rating it at 37.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Watford F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Watford F.C.: LWDLL
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-30 | Watford vs Burnley | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-05 | Burnley vs Watford | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Burnley F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Watford F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.