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Watford F.C. crestWatford F.C.vsLeicester City F.C. crestLeicester City F.C.

Watford F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Watford F.C. 00 Leicester City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Watford F.C.51%

Watford F.C. 51%
Draw 23%
Leicester City F.C. 25%
  • Watford F.C. 51%
  • Draw 23%
  • Leicester City F.C. 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Watford F.C., rating it at 51.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Watford F.C. won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Watford F.C.: LWDLL

Leicester City F.C.: LDWWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21Watford F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.0–0
2025-12-26Leicester City F.C. vs Watford F.C.1–2
2022-05-15Watford vs Leicester City1–5
2021-11-28Leicester City vs Watford4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Watford F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Watford F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Watford F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Watford F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.

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