Watford F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Watford F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSun, 16 Aug 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.58%
- Watford F.C. 18%
- Draw 24%
- Southampton F.C. 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 57.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Watford F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Watford F.C.: LWDLL
Southampton F.C.: WWWDD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Southampton F.C. vs Watford F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Watford F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2022-03-13 | Southampton vs Watford | 1–2 |
| 2021-10-30 | Watford vs Southampton | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Watford F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Watford F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Watford F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.