West Ham United F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.West Ham United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.49%
- West Ham United F.C. 26%
- Draw 25%
- Southampton F.C. 49%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 49.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and West Ham United F.C. won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
West Ham United F.C.: DDWWD
Southampton F.C.: WWWDD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | West Ham United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Southampton F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-02 | West Ham United vs Southampton | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Southampton vs West Ham United | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-26 | West Ham United vs Southampton | 2–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Southampton vs West Ham United | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-23 | West Ham United vs Southampton | 3–0 |
| 2020-12-29 | Southampton vs West Ham United | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does West Ham United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the West Ham United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.