FC Ufa crestFC UfavsArsenal Tula crestArsenal Tula

FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Prediction, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionSat, 17 Oct 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Ufa42%

Tofiko42% / 27% / 31%
Market34% / 29% / 36%
  • FC Ufa
  • Draw
  • Arsenal Tula

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Ufa or draw69%
  • Draw or Arsenal Tula58%
  • FC Ufa or Arsenal Tula73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.535%
  • Under 2.565%

Both teams to score

  • FC Ufa, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Arsenal Tula, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Ufa, rating it at 42.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Ufa won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Arsenal Tula's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Ufa's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

FC Ufa: LDLDL

Arsenal Tula: WLWLD

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-11-16FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula1–2
2025-09-20Arsenal Tula vs FC Ufa2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula?
Tofiko's model favours FC Ufa (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 11:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureArsenal Tula vs FC UFA5 Dec 2026 →