FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionSat, 17 Oct 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Ufa42%
- FC Ufa
- Draw
- Arsenal Tula
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Ufa or draw69%
- Draw or Arsenal Tula58%
- FC Ufa or Arsenal Tula73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.535%
- Under 2.565%
Both teams to score
- FC Ufa, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Arsenal Tula, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Ufa, rating it at 42.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Ufa won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Arsenal Tula's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Ufa's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
FC Ufa: LDLDL
Arsenal Tula: WLWLD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Arsenal Tula vs FC Ufa | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Ufa (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 11:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the FC Ufa vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.