Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsUS Cremonese crestUS Cremonese

Empoli FC 1-0 US Cremonese — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 22 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC40%

  • Empoli FC 40%
  • Draw 25%
  • US Cremonese 35%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Empoli FC, rating it at 39.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Empoli FC won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

US Cremonese: WLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 1.80Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Empoli FC vs US Cremonese1–0
2023-04-14Cremonese vs Empoli1–0
2022-11-11Empoli vs Cremonese2–0
2021-04-13Cremonese vs Empoli2–2
2020-12-15Empoli vs Cremonese1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs US Cremonese?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Empoli FC vs US Cremonese kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Empoli FC vs US Cremonese head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.

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