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AS Roma crestAS RomavsAtalanta BC crestAtalanta BC

AS Roma vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie ASat, 05 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AS Roma44%

AS Roma 44%
Draw 29%
Atalanta BC 27%
  • AS Roma 44%
  • Draw 29%
  • Atalanta BC 27%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 43.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AS Roma: WLDWW

Atalanta BC: LWDLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.40Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-18AS Roma vs Atalanta BC1–1
2026-01-03Atalanta BC vs AS Roma1–0
2025-05-12Atalanta BC vs AS Roma2–1
2024-12-02AS Roma vs Atalanta BC0–2
2024-05-12Atalanta vs AS Roma2–1
2024-01-07AS Roma vs Atalanta1–1
2023-04-24Atalanta vs AS Roma3–1
2022-09-18AS Roma vs Atalanta0–1
2022-03-05AS Roma vs Atalanta1–0
2021-12-18Atalanta vs AS Roma1–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs Atalanta BC?
Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AS Roma vs Atalanta BC kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AS Roma vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.

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