Bologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909vsUS Sassuolo Calcio crestUS Sassuolo Calcio

Bologna FC 1909 2-2 US Sassuolo Calcio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 06 Sep 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bologna FC 190952%

  • Bologna FC 1909 52%
  • Draw 23%
  • US Sassuolo Calcio 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Bologna FC 1909 won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Bologna FC 1909's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

Bologna FC 1909: LDLLL

US Sassuolo Calcio: WDDWL

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-06Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
2026-03-15US Sassuolo Calcio vs Bologna FC 19090–1
2025-12-28Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–1
2024-02-03Bologna vs US Sassuolo Calcio4–2
2023-10-28US Sassuolo Calcio vs Bologna1–1
2023-05-08US Sassuolo Calcio vs Bologna1–1
2022-11-12Bologna vs US Sassuolo Calcio3–0
2022-05-15Bologna vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–3
2021-12-22US Sassuolo Calcio vs Bologna0–3
2021-02-20US Sassuolo Calcio vs Bologna1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureSassuolo vs Bologna7 Mar 2027 →