Genoavs
AscoliGenoa 2-1 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 06 May 2023 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Genoa58%
- Genoa 58%
- Draw 25%
- Ascoli 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Genoa, rating it at 57.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Genoa won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Genoa: LLLWL
Ascoli: WDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Genoa CFC vs Ascoli | 4–1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Genoa vs Ascoli | 2–1 |
| 2022-12-11 | Ascoli vs Genoa | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Genoa vs Ascoli?
- Tofiko's model favours Genoa (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Genoa vs Ascoli kick off?
- Sat, 06 May 2023 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Genoa vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.