Genoavs
FC Bari 1908Genoa 4-3 FC Bari 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Fri, 19 May 2023 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Genoa60%
- Genoa 60%
- Draw 24%
- FC Bari 1908 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Genoa, rating it at 59.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Genoa won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Genoa: LLLWL
FC Bari 1908: WDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-19 | Genoa vs FC Bari 1908 | 4–3 |
| 2022-12-26 | FC Bari 1908 vs Genoa | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Genoa vs FC Bari 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours Genoa (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Genoa vs FC Bari 1908 kick off?
- Fri, 19 May 2023 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Genoa vs FC Bari 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.