Lecce crestLeccevsBenevento crestBenevento

Lecce 1-1 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2021-2022Sun, 13 Feb 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lecce53%

  • Lecce 53%
  • Draw 25%
  • Benevento 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Lecce, rating it at 53.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Lecce won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Lecce: LWLWW

Benevento: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-02-13Lecce vs Benevento1–1
2021-09-10Benevento vs Lecce0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Lecce vs Benevento?
Tofiko's model favours Lecce (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Lecce vs Benevento kick off?
Sun, 13 Feb 2022 14:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2021-2022.
What is the Lecce vs Benevento head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBenevento 0-0 Lecce10 Sept 2021 →