A.C. Monza crestA.C. MonzavsAscoli crestAscoli

A.C. Monza 2-0 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2021-2022Wed, 06 Apr 2022 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs A.C. Monza57%

  • A.C. Monza 57%
  • Draw 25%
  • Ascoli 19%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick A.C. Monza, rating it at 56.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and A.C. Monza won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • A.C. Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

A.C. Monza: WLLWD

Ascoli: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-06A.C. Monza vs Ascoli2–0
2021-11-27Ascoli vs A.C. Monza1–1
2021-04-10Ascoli vs A.C. Monza1–0
2020-12-22A.C. Monza vs Ascoli2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win A.C. Monza vs Ascoli?
Tofiko's model favours A.C. Monza (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does A.C. Monza vs Ascoli kick off?
Wed, 06 Apr 2022 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2021-2022.
What is the A.C. Monza vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAscoli 1-1 Monza27 Nov 2021 →