AC Monzavs
SSC BariAC Monza 2-0 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 11 Apr 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza59%
- AC Monza 59%
- Draw 24%
- SSC Bari 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. SSC Bari's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | AC Monza vs SSC Bari | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | SSC Bari vs AC Monza | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs SSC Bari?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs SSC Bari kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.