AC Monzavs
Carrarese Calcio 1908AC Monza 4-1 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 20 Dec 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza57%
- AC Monza 57%
- Draw 23%
- Carrarese Calcio 1908 20%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AC Monza won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs AC Monza | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | AC Monza vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
- Sat, 20 Dec 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.