AC Monzavs
Palermo FCAC Monza 3-0 Palermo FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 14 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza49%
- AC Monza 49%
- Draw 24%
- Palermo FC 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 48.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AC Monza won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
Palermo FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | AC Monza vs Palermo FC | 3–0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Palermo FC vs AC Monza | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs Palermo FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs Palermo FC kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs Palermo FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.