AC Monzavs
FC SudtirolAC Monza 1-1 FC Sudtirol — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BMon, 08 Dec 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza54%
- AC Monza 54%
- Draw 26%
- FC Sudtirol 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 54.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AC Monza won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
FC Sudtirol: DWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | FC Sudtirol vs AC Monza | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-08 | AC Monza vs FC Sudtirol | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs FC Sudtirol?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs FC Sudtirol kick off?
- Mon, 08 Dec 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs FC Sudtirol head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.