Parma Calcio 1913vs
ModenaParma Calcio 1913 1-1 Modena — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 25 Nov 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Parma Calcio 191351%
- Parma Calcio 1913 51%
- Draw 25%
- Modena 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Parma Calcio 1913, rating it at 51.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Parma Calcio 1913 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Parma Calcio 1913: LLLWL
Modena: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-27 | Modena vs Parma Calcio 1913 | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-25 | Parma Calcio 1913 vs Modena | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-14 | Modena vs Parma Calcio 1913 | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-26 | Parma Calcio 1913 vs Modena | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Parma Calcio 1913 vs Modena?
- Tofiko's model favours Parma Calcio 1913 (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Parma Calcio 1913 vs Modena kick off?
- Sat, 25 Nov 2023 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
- What is the Parma Calcio 1913 vs Modena head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.