Speziavs
CremoneseSpezia 0-1 Cremonese — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 20 Jan 2024 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cremonese38%
- Spezia 36%
- Draw 26%
- Cremonese 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cremonese, rating it at 38.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Spezia won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Spezia: WWDWD
Cremonese: WLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-20 | Spezia vs Cremonese | 0–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Cremonese vs Spezia | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | Cremonese vs Spezia | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Spezia vs Cremonese | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia vs Cremonese?
- Tofiko's model favours Cremonese (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia vs Cremonese kick off?
- Sat, 20 Jan 2024 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
- What is the Spezia vs Cremonese head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.