Spezia Calciovs
Empoli FCSpezia Calcio vs Empoli FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie BTue, 17 Mar 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Spezia Calcio 1–1 Empoli FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Spezia Calcio38%
- Spezia Calcio 38%
- Draw 25%
- Empoli FC 37%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Spezia Calcio, rating it at 37.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Spezia Calcio's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Empoli FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Spezia Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Spezia Calcio: DDDLW
Empoli FC: DWDWL
Head-to-head
- 7Games
- 1.86Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 14%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Empoli FC vs Spezia Calcio | 1–1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Spezia Calcio vs Empoli FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Empoli FC vs Spezia Calcio | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Empoli vs Spezia | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-14 | Spezia vs Empoli | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Empoli vs Spezia | 0–0 |
| 2021-12-19 | Spezia vs Empoli | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 1 home wins, 6 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.86 goals per game.