Spezia Calciovs
Frosinone CalcioSpezia Calcio vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie BSun, 15 Feb 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Spezia Calcio 0–2 Frosinone Calcio
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Frosinone Calcio46%
- Spezia Calcio 29%
- Draw 25%
- Frosinone Calcio 46%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Frosinone Calcio, rating it at 46.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Spezia Calcio's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Frosinone Calcio's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Spezia Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Spezia Calcio: DDDLW
Frosinone Calcio: DDWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Spezia Calcio vs Frosinone Calcio | 0–2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Frosinone Calcio vs Spezia Calcio | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Frosinone Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Frosinone Calcio (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs Frosinone Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs Frosinone Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.