Atalanta BCvs
US Sassuolo CalcioAtalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 23 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC68%
- Atalanta BC 68%
- Draw 20%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 67.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 35 goals — 7.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Sassuolo Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 7.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atalanta BC: LWDLW
US Sassuolo Calcio: LDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–3 |
| 2024-02-17 | Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 3–0 |
| 2023-08-20 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-04 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-15 | Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-10 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta | 2–1 |
| 2021-09-21 | Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-02 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-03 | Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 5–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.