Inter Milanvs
AC MonzaInter Milan vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Milan78%
- Inter Milan 78%
- Draw 16%
- AC Monza 7%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 77.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Inter Milan won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Inter Milan: DDWDD
AC Monza: DLLWW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Inter Milan vs AC Monza | 3–2 |
| 2024-09-15 | AC Monza vs Inter Milan | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-13 | AC Monza vs Inter Milan | 1–5 |
| 2023-08-19 | Inter Milan vs AC Monza | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-15 | Inter Milan vs A.C. Monza | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-07 | A.C. Monza vs Inter Milan | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Inter Milan vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Inter Milan vs AC Monza kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Inter Milan vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.